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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	6	0	6	6	-	-	-	2.05	1.85	3.9
Away	2	0	0	16	6	10	6	-	1.24	2	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	19	1.02	19	1.02	1	-	-	-	-	1.77	2.1	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.2% | EV +70.3% | ROI +79.3% | n=174 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.0% | EV +3.9% | ROI -35.0% | n=174 | k=3.90

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.8% | EV -5.9% | ROI +24.3% | n=174 | k=2.10

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.1% | ROI -27.6% | n=174 | k=1.77

AI-agent: At 72 minutes, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-0 in a match that has been fairly balanced but with Mainz showing more shot activity. Market pressure strongly favors Mainz, with odds dropping 59% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current advantage. Historical data supports a bet on Mainz with a -1 handicap, showing a 95.4% win rate and a high ROI of 79.3%. The model confirms a strong edge (+35.2%) and expected value (+70.3%) for this bet at odds of 2.00, though no new bet is opened as the position may already be covered. Other markets like home +1.5 handicap are watch-only, while under and over 2.5 goals are not recommended. This is a good opportunity to consider a Mainz -1 handicap bet with proper risk management, acknowledging the strong statistical backing and current match dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 72