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Germany | Bundesliga | St Pauli - Mainz | 03.05.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 87'   —   St Pauli 0:2 Mainz
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 7 1 6 7 - - - 2.05 1.85 6.8
Away 2 0 0 16 6 10 6 - 1.1 2 1.8 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
301 41 1 1.5 1.33 1.36 - - - - 2.9 1.43 15 1.03
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +36.0% | EV +72.1% | ROI +94.9% | n=158 | k=2.00
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +19.3% | EV +26.3% | ROI +36.3% | n=158 | k=1.36
3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +20.0% | EV +26.7% | ROI +33.3% | n=158 | k=1.33
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.0% | EV -5.7% | ROI +17.2% | n=158 | k=1.42
AI-agent: At the 87th minute, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-0 in a Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the away team, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score and match dynamics. Mainz has been more active in shots, although the hosts are pressing hard in the final minutes. Historical data strongly supports a -1 Asian Handicap on Mainz with a 100% win rate in similar situations and a high ROI of 94.9%. The model shows a strong edge and expected value for this bet, but the entry window has closed after the 86th minute. Top-4 markets suggest watching the -1 AH on Mainz and double chance bets, but no mandatory bet is advised now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry opportunity.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 87