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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	7	1	6	7	-	-	-	2.05	2.3	1.14
Away	2	0	0	16	6	10	6	-	5.75	1.65	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
101	8	1.08	8	1.08	1.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	3.35	1.32

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +37.1% | EV +85.3% | ROI -94.9% | n=158 | k=2.30

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +18.9% | EV +25.7% | ROI +36.3% | n=158 | k=1.36

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.1% | EV -4.1% | ROI +2.3% | n=158 | k=1.32

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -41.2% | EV -67.9% | ROI +94.9% | n=158 | k=1.65

AI-agent: At the 87th minute, Mainz leads St Pauli 2-1 in a closely contested Bundesliga match. Market pressure favors the visitors, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting their shot dominance despite recent home pressure. Historical data for a +1 handicap on St Pauli is weak and shows a high loss rate, so caution is advised. The best model suggestion is a +1 handicap on St Pauli with good expected value, but the betting window has closed after the 86th minute. Currently, this is a watch situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, emphasizing risk control given the mixed signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388593 | minute: 87