Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	7	2	5	6	-	-	2.67	1.45	1.43	2.3
Away	2	0	0	9	4	5	0	-	1.6	2.75	2.67	1.45	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
7.5	3.4	1.57	2.25	1.3	1.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.4	2.85

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +44.9% | EV +103.2% | ROI -55.1% | n=41 | k=2.30

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.1% | EV +34.9% | ROI +45.0% | n=41 | k=1.45

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +2.4% | ROI +109.3% | n=41 | k=2.85

4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +2.6% | EV +3.4% | ROI +28.5% | n=41 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At 64 minutes, Augsburg leads Werder Bremen 2-1, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the away side, reflected in a 56% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. The home side is pushing more aggressively in recent phases, but the overall game balance remains even. Historical data for similar situations shows a weak edge for the home team with AH +1.5, but the negative ROI (-55.1%) and failed historical check advise caution. The model highlights AH_HOME+1.5 as the best candidate with a strong edge (+44.9%) and expected value (+103.2%), yet entry conditions are not met due to current score and match tempo. TOP-4 markets suggest watching AH_HOME+1.5 and other options without mandatory bets, emphasizing monitoring rather than immediate action to control risk.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388595 | minute: 64