Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	4	5	6	-	-	2.67	1.45	1.43	2.3
Away	2	0	0	9	4	5	0	-	1.6	2.75	2.67	1.45	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
8	3.4	1.57	2.25	1.3	1.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.43	2.75

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +47.0% | EV +108.1% | ROI -55.1% | n=41 | k=2.30

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.1% | EV +35.0% | ROI +45.0% | n=41 | k=1.45

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +2.2% | ROI +109.3% | n=41 | k=2.75

4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +2.5% | EV +3.3% | ROI +28.5% | n=41 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At 64 minutes, Augsburg leads Werder Bremen 2-1, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the away side, reflected by a 56% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. The hosts have increased their activity compared to previous encounters, but the game remains balanced. Historical data for the home +1.5 Asian handicap shows poor returns and fails validation, despite the model indicating a strong edge and positive expected value for this bet. However, entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not met, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm betting opportunity. The top-4 markets also suggest monitoring rather than committing, emphasizing risk control in this close contest.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388595 | minute: 64