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Step 58 of 66. Current minute: 84 .
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Germany | Bundesliga | Werder Bremen - Augsburg | 02.05.2026 | 18:30:00 | LIVE 84'   —   Werder Bremen 1:3 Augsburg
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Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 12 4 8 8 - - 2.67 1.45 1.45 3.55
Away 3 0 0 13 7 6 2 - 1.27 2.67 2.67 1.45 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
67 19 1.02 19 1.02 1 - - - - - - - -
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +48.8% | EV +130.5% | ROI +147.4% | n=25 | k=2.67
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.6% | EV +35.6% | ROI +45.0% | n=25 | k=1.45
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +7.4% | EV +26.1% | ROI -57.4% | n=25 | k=3.55
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -30.9% | EV -82.7% | ROI -100.0% | n=25 | k=2.67
AI-agent: At the 84th minute with Augsburg leading 3-1 away at Werder Bremen, the market strongly favors Augsburg, with odds dropping 72% from pre-match levels reflecting their control. The match has been close, but Augsburg has shown more attacking intent, especially in recent phases. Historical data for similar situations suggests a strong edge for an away handicap -1 bet, though the sample size is slightly below the preferred threshold, making the historical check weak. The model identifies a promising value on Augsburg -1 handicap with a 48.8% edge and 130.5% expected value, but entry conditions based on current score and tempo are not fully met, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Risk control advises monitoring the match further before committing to a stake.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388595 | minute: 84