Match Replay

Step 60 of 66. Current minute: 87 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	12	4	8	8	-	-	2.67	1.45	1.45	4.15
Away	3	0	0	13	7	6	2	-	1.22	2.67	2.67	1.45	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
81	21	1.01	21	1.01	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +49.2% | EV +131.5% | ROI +154.6% | n=26 | k=2.67

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.6% | EV +35.7% | ROI +45.0% | n=26 | k=1.45

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +9.9% | EV +40.9% | ROI -68.1% | n=26 | k=4.15

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -31.0% | EV -82.8% | ROI -100.0% | n=26 | k=2.67

AI-agent: At the 87th minute, Augsburg leads Werder Bremen 3-1 with no red cards shown. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting their dominance especially in shots and recent game tempo. Historical data for similar situations shows a strong edge for the away handicap -1, but the sample size is slightly below the preferred threshold, making the historical confirmation weak. The model identifies a positive expected value on the away -1 handicap at odds of 2.67, yet the betting window for this market has closed after the 86th minute. Currently, this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing careful risk management despite the promising indicators.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1388595 | minute: 87