Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	13	4	9	9	-	4.8	2.15	1.45	1.32	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	3	-	-	3.3	2.67	1.73	1.18

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.22	4.5	34	1	1.18	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.15	1.73

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.5% | EV +19.2% | ROI +31.5% | n=197 | k=1.32

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +4.5% | EV +7.8% | ROI +4.2% | n=197 | k=1.73

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.7% | EV +9.9% | ROI -2.3% | n=197 | k=1.73

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +6.0% | EV +23.9% | ROI -14.7% | n=197 | k=4.00

AI-agent: At the 80th minute in the Alaves vs Mallorca match, the score is 2-1 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 42% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The game has been closely contested, with Alaves showing more activity in shots, though recent minutes lack sustained pressure from either side. Historical data strongly supports a +1 handicap for Alaves, showing a 100% win rate and 31.5% ROI in similar situations. The model identifies a +1 handicap on Alaves with a 14.5% edge and 19.2% expected value, but the entry conditions are not fully met yet, so no bet is advised now. The top markets also suggest watching rather than betting, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 80