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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 22'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 - - 3 3 1.4 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 - - 2.85 1.38 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4 3.4 1.91 1.8 1.3 1.22 - - 1.1 7 1.5 2.62 2.5 1.53
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.2% | EV +25.1% | ROI +24.5% | n=458 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.3% | EV +5.1% | ROI -5.3% | n=458 | k=1.53
3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.9% | EV +5.0% | ROI -4.9% | n=458 | k=2.62
4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.9% | EV +1.1% | ROI -3.2% | n=458 | k=1.30
AI-agent: At 22 minutes, Mallorca leads Alaves 1-0 in this LaLiga match. The market strongly favors Mallorca with a 48% drop in odds from pre-match levels, reflecting their current advantage. However, shot data and recent play show no clear dominance by either side, and the tempo is balanced. Historical data supports a +1 handicap on Mallorca with a 93% win rate and a solid ROI of 24.5%, indicating value. Despite a model edge of +18.2% and expected value of +25.1% on the AH_AWAY+1 market at odds of 1.38, the entry conditions based on score, tempo, and match stats are not yet fully met. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, so caution is advised while monitoring the game progression.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 22