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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 23'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 - - 3 3 1.4 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 - - 2.85 1.38 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.33 3.4 1.91 1.8 1.3 1.2 - - 1.1 7 1.53 2.5 2.62 1.5
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.5% | EV +25.5% | ROI +25.9% | n=464 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +3.4% | EV +5.1% | ROI -5.3% | n=464 | k=1.50
3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +4.2% | ROI -6.8% | n=464 | k=2.50
4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.6% | EV +0.7% | ROI -2.8% | n=464 | k=1.30
AI-agent: At the 23rd minute with Mallorca leading 1-0 against Alaves, the market shows increased confidence in the away side, with odds dropping 48% from pre-match levels. However, shot data and recent play do not confirm clear dominance by either team, and the tempo remains balanced. Historical analysis supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1 bet, showing a 94.1% win rate and 25.9% ROI over 464 matches. Despite this, the model has not triggered a bet due to current match conditions not fully meeting entry criteria. The top-4 markets suggest watching the away handicap +1 as the best option, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 23