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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 30'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 - - 3 3.1 1.4 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 2.85 1.35 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.33 3.4 1.83 1.83 1.3 1.2 - - 1.12 6 1.6 2.3 2.75 1.44
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.1% | EV +27.6% | ROI +26.5% | n=490 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.3% | EV +3.0% | ROI -3.8% | n=490 | k=2.30
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.6% | EV +3.7% | ROI -0.1% | n=490 | k=1.44
4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.5% | ROI -0.8% | n=490 | k=1.30
AI-agent: At the 30th minute with Mallorca leading 1-0 against Alaves, the market shows strong support for the away side, with odds dropping significantly since pre-match. However, shot data and recent pressure do not clearly favor either team, and the tempo is slower than their last encounter. Historical data strongly supports a +1 handicap for Mallorca with a 94.3% success rate and a 26.5% ROI, indicating good value. Despite a model edge of +20.1% and expected value of +27.6% on this handicap at odds of 1.38, the entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, with other top markets also suggesting caution.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 30