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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 31'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 - - 3 3 1.38 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 3 1.38 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.33 3.4 1.91 1.8 1.3 1.2 - - 1.12 6 1.62 2.25 3 1.4
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.2% | EV +27.8% | ROI +26.7% | n=488 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.3% | EV +2.9% | ROI -3.2% | n=488 | k=2.25
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.7% | EV +3.8% | ROI +0.1% | n=488 | k=1.40
4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.6% | EV +0.7% | ROI -0.6% | n=488 | k=1.30
AI-agent: At 31 minutes in the Alaves vs Mallorca match, Mallorca leads 1-0 but the game shows no clear dominance in shots or sustained pressure from either side. Market odds have shifted significantly in favor of Mallorca, reflecting the current score, yet the tempo is slower than their previous encounter. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1 with a 94.5% win rate and a solid ROI of 26.7%. The model identifies this bet with a 20.2% edge and 27.8% expected value, but entry conditions based on live match dynamics are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. The top markets suggest monitoring the away handicap +1 as the best option, but this remains a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 31