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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 33'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 1 3 3 - - 3 3.1 1.38 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 3 1.35 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.33 3.25 1.91 1.8 1.33 1.2 - - 1.14 5.5 1.68 2.15 3.2 1.36
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.4% | EV +26.6% | ROI +27.4% | n=482 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +2.4% | ROI -8.1% | n=482 | k=2.15
3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +1.7% | EV +2.2% | ROI +1.2% | n=482 | k=1.33
4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.5% | EV +3.4% | ROI -2.4% | n=482 | k=1.36
AI-agent: At 33 minutes, Mallorca leads Alaves 1-0, with market pressure favoring the visitors as their odds have dropped significantly since pre-match. Despite Mallorca's lead, the game remains balanced with no clear dominance in shots, and Alaves is applying pressure recently. Historical data supports a strong positive expectation for the away handicap +1, showing a 95.1% win rate and a 27.4% ROI over 482 matches. The model identifies an edge of +19.4% and an EV of +26.6% for this bet, but the entry condition is not yet met due to current match dynamics. All top-4 markets suggest watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm entry. Caution is advised, and waiting for clearer signals is recommended to control risk effectively.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 33