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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 32'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 1 3 3 - - 3 3 1.38 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 3 1.38 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.33 3.4 1.91 1.8 1.3 1.2 - - 1.12 6 1.62 2.25 3 1.4
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.1% | EV +26.3% | ROI +27.2% | n=479 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.3% | EV +2.9% | ROI -1.8% | n=479 | k=2.25
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.7% | EV +3.8% | ROI +0.5% | n=479 | k=1.40
4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.6% | EV +0.7% | ROI -1.2% | n=479 | k=1.30
AI-agent: At 32 minutes, Mallorca leads Alaves 1-0 in this LaLiga match. The market increasingly favors Mallorca, with odds dropping 48% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, and recent play shows Alaves applying pressure. Historical data for similar situations strongly supports a +1 handicap on Mallorca, with a 94.9% win rate and 27.2% ROI, but the model has not triggered a bet entry due to current match dynamics. The top recommended bets are all on watch, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm betting opportunity, with the +1 handicap on Mallorca showing the highest edge but requiring cautious risk management.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 32