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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	2	3	3	-	-	3	3.3	1.32	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	3.3	1.32	1.38	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.5	3.25	1.83	1.83	1.33	1.18	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.93	1.93	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.0% | EV +27.5% | ROI +28.5% | n=470 | k=1.38

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.9% | EV +3.6% | ROI -6.6% | n=470 | k=1.92

3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +2.1% | EV +2.8% | ROI -1.6% | n=470 | k=1.33

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +7.8% | ROI -37.8% | n=470 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At 39 minutes, Mallorca leads Alaves 1-0, but the match dynamics show Alaves pressing more aggressively, reflected in recent market odds dropping significantly for the away side. Historically, the +1 Asian Handicap on Mallorca has a strong record with a 95.7% success rate and a 28.5% ROI, supported by 470 similar matches. The model identifies a promising edge of +20% and expected value of +27.5% on this handicap at odds of 1.38, yet the entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not fully met, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Other top markets also suggest caution with moderate edges. Overall, this is a monitoring phase where the market favors Mallorca's handicap but the match flow and scoreline advise patience before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 39