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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 40'   —   Alaves 0:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 5 2 3 3 - - 3 3.3 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 3.3 1.32 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.5 3.25 1.83 1.83 1.33 1.18 - - 1.2 4.5 1.93 1.93 4 1.25
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.2% | EV +27.8% | ROI +28.1% | n=473 | k=1.38
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.9% | EV +3.6% | ROI -6.0% | n=473 | k=1.92
3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +2.1% | EV +2.8% | ROI -0.5% | n=473 | k=1.33
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +7.8% | ROI -37.2% | n=473 | k=4.50
AI-agent: At 40 minutes in the Alaves vs Mallorca match, Mallorca leads 1-0 despite Alaves showing more attacking pressure and shots recently. The market favors Mallorca with a significant drop in odds from pre-match levels, reflecting confidence in the away side's advantage. Historical data strongly supports a +1 handicap on Mallorca with a 95.5% win rate and a 28.1% ROI, indicating good value. However, the model has not triggered a bet entry yet due to current match dynamics and expert conditions not being met. This is a watch situation with promising edges on Mallorca +1 handicap and under 2.5 goals, but no mandatory bet is advised now.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 40