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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 56'   —   Alaves 1:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 8 2 6 7 - - 3 1.38 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 3.3 3 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.38 2.2 5.5 1.14 1.61 1.53 - - - - 1.43 2.75 3 1.38
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.9% | EV +21.9% | ROI +31.0% | n=409 | k=1.38
2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +7.0% | EV +38.6% | ROI +7.1% | n=409 | k=5.50
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.6% | EV +28.6% | ROI -17.5% | n=409 | k=1.32
4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +0.9% | EV +1.4% | ROI -0.3% | n=409 | k=1.53
AI-agent: At 56 minutes with the score tied at 1-1, the market is leaning towards a draw, with odds dropping 36% from pre-match levels reflecting the current scoreline. The home team, Alaves, has been more active in shots and is applying pressure in the recent phase, although Mallorca leads on the scoreboard. Historical data for similar situations shows a slight edge for Alaves with a +1 handicap, but the return on investment is negative and the historical check is weak. The model identifies AH_HOME+1 as the best candidate with a positive edge and expected value, yet the entry conditions are not fully met given the current match tempo and score. The top-4 market signals suggest watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity. Caution is advised due to the mixed signals and the need for risk control.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 56