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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Mallorca | 25.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 56'   —   Alaves 1:1 Mallorca
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 8 2 6 7 - - 3 1.45 1.32 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - 3.3 2.67 1.38 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.6 2.1 4.75 1.17 1.67 1.44 - - - - 1.45 2.67 3.1 1.35
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.9% | EV +23.3% | ROI +31.0% | n=409 | k=1.38
2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +7.3% | EV +34.6% | ROI +7.1% | n=409 | k=4.75
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.5% | EV +28.4% | ROI -17.5% | n=409 | k=1.32
4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.4% | EV +3.6% | ROI -4.2% | n=409 | k=2.67
AI-agent: At the 56th minute with the score tied 1-1 between Alaves and Mallorca, the market is leaning towards a draw, with odds dropping 36% from pre-match levels. The home team is showing more attacking pressure and shots, although Mallorca currently leads on the scoreboard. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not confirm a clear advantage, with a negative ROI of -17.5% on the home handicap +1 market. The model identifies a potential value bet on AH_HOME+1 with a 21.5% edge and 28.4% expected value, but entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match tempo. Top-4 market signals suggest monitoring rather than betting now, emphasizing risk control and waiting for stronger confirmation before placing a wager.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391129 | minute: 56