Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	8	3	5	2	-	-	-	2.05	1.8	1.43
Away	1	0	0	7	3	4	4	-	2.75	2.05	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	2.2	3.1	1.33	1.61	1.25	-	-	-	-	1.44	2.75	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +25.2% | EV +36.0% | ROI +36.2% | n=364 | k=1.42

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +38.2% | EV +68.8% | ROI +55.2% | n=364 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +5.4% | ROI +13.3% | n=364 | k=2.75

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +3.2% | ROI +10.4% | n=364 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At the 61st minute with the score tied 1-1, the market favors a draw, reflected by a 33% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The shot data does not clearly support either side, though the home team is applying more pressure recently. Historical data for similar situations strongly supports a +1.5 handicap on the home team, with a 95.6% win rate and a 36.2% ROI over 364 matches. The model confirms this bet with a 25.2% edge and 36.0% expected value, though no new bet is opened as this position is already held or covered. Among top markets, the best bet is AH_HOME+1.5, offering good value but should be approached with standard risk management. Other markets are on watch only, indicating monitoring rather than mandatory entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 61