Match Replay

Step 59 of 93. Current minute: 62 .

Continue Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 59 of 93 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	4	5	2	-	-	-	2.05	1.8	1.43
Away	1	0	0	8	4	4	4	-	2.75	2.05	1.8	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	2.1	3.2	1.33	1.67	1.25	-	-	-	-	1.44	2.75	3.2	1.36

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +25.3% | EV +36.0% | ROI +36.3% | n=367 | k=1.42

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +38.3% | EV +69.0% | ROI +54.5% | n=367 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +5.4% | ROI +13.9% | n=367 | k=2.75

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +2.9% | ROI +8.8% | n=367 | k=1.36

AI-agent: At the 62nd minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Vallecano and Sociedad, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by a 49% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The game remains balanced, though Sociedad has been more active in shots, and recent pressure is shared without dominance. Historical data supports a strong edge for the home handicap +1.5, with a 95.6% win rate over 367 matches and a solid ROI of 36.3%. The model confirms this with a 25.3% edge and 36.0% expected value at odds of 1.43, though no new bet is opened as this position is already held or hedged. Among top markets, the best bet is on AH_HOME+1.5, offering a good risk-reward profile, while other options like AH_HOME+1 and under 2.5 or 3.5 goals are on watch for potential opportunities. This is a monitored situation with a favorable outlook for the home handicap but requires careful risk management given the current match dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 62