Match Replay

Step 61 of 93. Current minute: 62 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	4	5	2	-	-	-	1.95	1.85	1.3
Away	2	0	0	10	6	4	4	-	3.45	2	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
13	4.33	1.33	3.25	1.2	1.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.44	2.75

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.6% | EV +7.3% | ROI +36.3% | n=367 | k=1.30

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +8.7% | EV +16.2% | ROI +54.5% | n=367 | k=1.85

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +4.4% | EV +12.1% | ROI +8.8% | n=367 | k=2.75

4) No Bet | Double Chance 1X | Edge -1.3% | EV -4.2% | ROI -1.9% | n=367 | k=3.25

AI-agent: At the 62nd minute of Vallecano vs Sociedad, the score is 1-2 with Sociedad leading. Market pressure favors the visitors, with odds dropping 49% from pre-match levels, reflecting their active play and shot dominance despite a close game. Historical data supports a strong edge on the home handicap +1.5, showing a 95.6% win rate and 36.3% ROI over 367 matches, confirming a reliable betting opportunity. The model confirms this with a 5.6% edge and 7.3% expected value, though no new bet is opened as this position is already covered. Among top markets, the best bet is on AH_HOME+1.5 with controlled risk; other options like AH_HOME+1 and Under 3.5 goals are watch-only, while Double Chance 1X is not recommended currently. This is a monitored situation with a clear value in the home handicap cushion but no urgent new entry advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 62