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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	-	1.95	1.8	1.43
Away	1	0	0	6	3	3	3	-	2.75	2.05	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
6	4	1.53	2.38	1.22	1.12	-	-	1.08	8	1.5	2.62	2.38	1.57

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.8% | EV +4.4% | ROI +6.2% | n=488 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +5.9% | ROI +7.0% | n=488 | k=2.62

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.0% | EV +0.2% | ROI -4.1% | n=488 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.5% | EV -2.7% | ROI -1.1% | n=488 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At 29 minutes, Sociedad leads Vallecano 1-0 in a closely contested LaLiga match. The market favors a draw with odds dropping 13% from pre-match levels, reflecting the balanced play but slightly more shots from Sociedad. Historical data supports under 3.5 goals with a 67.6% win rate and a positive ROI of 6.2%, confirming a solid edge for this total. The best model suggestion is under 3.5 goals at 1.57 odds, showing a 2.8% edge, but this is just below the minimum threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 markets recommend watching under 3.5 and under 2.5 goals, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm betting opportunity. No bets are advised on handicap markets due to negative expected value. Overall, the situation calls for cautious observation rather than immediate action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 29