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Spain | LaLiga | Vallecano - Sociedad | 26.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 29'   —   Vallecano 0:1 Sociedad
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 - - - 1.95 1.8 1.43
Away 1 0 0 6 3 3 3 - 2.75 2.05 1.9 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
6.5 4 1.53 2.38 1.22 1.11 - - 1.1 7 1.5 2.62 2.5 1.53
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.9% | EV +4.4% | ROI +3.7% | n=488 | k=1.53
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +5.9% | ROI +7.0% | n=488 | k=2.62
3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.0% | EV -3.6% | ROI -1.1% | n=488 | k=1.80
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.3% | EV -4.8% | ROI -5.3% | n=488 | k=2.05
AI-agent: At 29 minutes in the Vallecano vs Sociedad match, Sociedad leads 1-0. The market favors a draw with odds dropping 13% from pre-match levels, reflecting the close game and Sociedad's slight dominance in shots. Historical data supports betting under 3.5 goals with a 67.6% success rate and positive ROI, but the model's edge at +2.9% is just below the threshold to place a bet. Top-4 markets suggest watching under 3.5 and under 2.5 goals, indicating a cautious approach rather than a firm bet. The historical check is solid, but current conditions advise monitoring rather than entering a position now.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 29