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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	-	-	1.8	1.8	1.43
Away	1	0	0	6	3	3	3	-	2.75	2.05	2.05	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.75	2.62	3.1	1.33	1.44	1.4	-	-	-	-	1.22	4.33	1.98	1.88

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +19.6% | EV +28.0% | ROI +28.0% | n=295 | k=1.42

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.7% | EV +57.0% | ROI +43.0% | n=295 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +4.6% | EV +8.7% | ROI +13.8% | n=295 | k=1.88

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +8.5% | ROI -1.6% | n=295 | k=4.33

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, the score is tied 1-1 between Vallecano and Sociedad in LaLiga. The market shows strong support for a draw, with odds dropping 24% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current balanced scoreline. Although the game is close, Sociedad has been more active in shots, while Vallecano is applying pressure in the latest phase. Historical data supports a home Asian Handicap +1.5 with a high success rate (89.8%) and solid ROI (28%), which aligns with the current model signal showing a 19.6% edge and 28% expected value. The best betting opportunity is on AH_HOME+1.5 with controlled risk, but no new bet is opened since this position is already held or covered. Other markets like AH_HOME+1 and under 3.5 goals are on watch, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 45