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Spain | LaLiga | Vallecano - Sociedad | 26.04.2026 | 17:00:00 | LIVE 67'   —   Vallecano 1:2 Sociedad
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 9 4 5 2 - - - 1.95 1.68 1.25
Away 2 0 0 10 6 4 4 - 3.8 2.25 1.9 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
12 4 1.4 2.75 1.22 1.04 - - - - - - 1.5 2.62
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +4.7% | EV +12.4% | ROI +20.9% | n=191 | k=2.62
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.0% | EV +11.7% | ROI +1.8% | n=191 | k=1.68
3) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -2.7% | EV -10.8% | ROI -5.8% | n=191 | k=4.00
4) No Bet | Double Chance 1X | Edge -4.7% | EV -13.0% | ROI -17.9% | n=191 | k=2.75
AI-agent: At the 67th minute, Sociedad leads Vallecano 2-1 in a closely contested LaLiga match. Market pressure favors the visitors, with odds dropping 46% from pre-match levels, reflecting their shot dominance despite balanced recent play. Historical data supports a +1.5 handicap on Vallecano with an 81.7% win rate and positive ROI, confirmed by the model showing a 4.2% edge and 5.2% expected value. However, no new bet is opened as this position is already covered. Top-4 markets suggest watching under 3.5 goals and Vallecano +1 handicap, both showing positive edges and EV, but no mandatory bets. This is a monitoring phase with a balanced risk approach given the current match dynamics and historical context.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 67