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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	4	5	2	-	-	-	1.95	1.65	1.24
Away	2	0	0	10	6	4	4	-	3.9	2.3	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
12	4	1.4	2.75	1.22	1.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.53	2.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +4.5% | EV +11.4% | ROI +26.3% | n=192 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.9% | EV +13.0% | ROI -0.4% | n=192 | k=1.65

3) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -2.7% | EV -10.8% | ROI -16.7% | n=192 | k=4.00

4) No Bet | Double Chance 1X | Edge -4.7% | EV -13.0% | ROI -27.0% | n=192 | k=2.75

AI-agent: At the 69th minute, Sociedad leads Vallecano 2-1, but the market is leaning towards a draw, with odds dropping 42% from pre-match levels considering the current score. Shot data does not clearly favor either side, and recent play shows no sustained pressure from one team. Historical analysis supports a +1.5 handicap for Vallecano with an 82.3% win rate and positive ROI, confirmed by the model with a 4.8% edge and 6.0% expected value. However, no new bets are opened as this position is already covered. The top markets suggest watching under 3.5 goals and Vallecano +1 handicap, while draw and double chance bets are not recommended. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry, with careful risk control advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 69