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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	11	5	6	4	-	-	-	2	1.65	1.24
Away	2	0	0	10	6	4	4	-	3.9	2.3	1.85	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	1.91	3.6	1.25	1.8	1.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.6% | EV +55.5% | ROI -0.4% | n=192 | k=1.65

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.8% | EV +3.2% | ROI -31.2% | n=192 | k=4.00

3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -2.8% | EV -5.1% | ROI -3.3% | n=192 | k=1.80

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -0.9% | EV -3.1% | ROI +2.8% | n=192 | k=3.60

AI-agent: At the 69th minute, the score is tied 2-2 between Vallecano and Sociedad. The market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 42% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current balance. Neither side shows clear dominance in shots or sustained pressure recently, and while Vallecano leads on the scoreboard, the gameplay remains evenly matched. Historical data supports a bet on Vallecano with a +1.5 handicap, showing an 82.3% win rate and positive ROI, which aligns with the model's confirmed signal offering a 14.9% edge and 18.4% expected value. However, no new bets are recommended now as this position is already covered. The top market signals suggest watching the home handicap and home win options due to their positive edges but advise caution, making this a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 69