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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	11	5	6	4	-	-	-	1.95	1.65	3.3
Away	3	0	0	10	6	4	4	-	1.32	2.3	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	15	1.03	13	1.03	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +39.6% | EV +91.2% | ROI -80.7% | n=112 | k=2.30

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -3.4% | EV -11.2% | ROI +21.8% | n=112 | k=3.30

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.4% | EV -3.2% | ROI -93.0% | n=112 | k=1.32

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -43.7% | EV -72.2% | ROI +52.2% | n=112 | k=1.65

AI-agent: At 75 minutes in the Vallecano vs Sociedad match, Sociedad leads 3-1 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping 61% from pre-match levels, reflecting their stronger shot activity despite a previously balanced game. However, recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team. Historical data for a -1 handicap on Sociedad is weak and shows a negative ROI of -80.7%, so the model has not opened a bet despite a strong edge (+39.6%) and expected value (+91.2%). This is a watch situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, and caution is advised due to the poor historical performance of this market.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 75