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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	12	5	7	4	-	-	-	1.95	1.65	3.8
Away	3	0	0	11	7	4	4	-	1.25	2.3	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
67	19	1.02	19	1.02	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.6% | EV +93.3% | ROI +104.5% | n=55 | k=2.30

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -3.3% | EV -12.4% | ROI -30.9% | n=55 | k=3.80

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -44.7% | EV -73.7% | ROI -80.6% | n=55 | k=1.65

AI-agent: At the 84th minute, Sociedad leads Vallecano 3-1 in this LaLiga match. The market strongly favors Sociedad, with odds dropping by 53% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. However, shot statistics do not clearly support dominance by either side, and recent play shows no sustained pressure from one team. Historical data for similar situations strongly supports a -1 Asian Handicap for Sociedad, with a 97.8% win rate and over 100% ROI. The model confirms this bet with a significant edge and expected value, though no new position is opened as it may already be covered. This is a strong candidate for betting with risk control in mind, but monitoring the game flow remains important given the lack of clear in-play dominance.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 84