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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	12	5	7	4	-	-	-	1.95	1.7	1.16
Away	3	0	0	11	7	4	4	-	5.25	2.2	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
41	4.75	1.22	4	1.17	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.6% | EV +45.2% | ROI -80.6% | n=55 | k=1.70

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.5% | EV +5.8% | ROI -65.5% | n=55 | k=4.00

3) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -3.4% | EV -16.3% | ROI -100.0% | n=55 | k=4.75

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -30.9% | EV -68.0% | ROI +104.5% | n=55 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At the 84th minute with Vallecano trailing 2-3 to Sociedad, the market shows increased confidence in the visitors, with odds dropping 53% from pre-match levels. However, shot statistics do not clearly favor either side, and recent minutes lack sustained pressure from one team. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a reliable bet, despite the model signaling a potential value on Vallecano +1.5 handicap with a positive edge and expected value. Top-4 markets recommend watching the home +1 handicap and double chance 1X options, but no firm bet is advised due to negative return on investment history. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a mandatory entry, and caution is advised given the current game dynamics and historical trends.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 84