Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	1.57	3.3	2.15
Away	2	0	0	3	3	0	0	-	1.68	1.32	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
19	7.5	1.14	5.5	1.08	1.02	-	-	-	-	1.28	3.75	2.2	1.65

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.1% | ROI +3.3% | n=166 | k=1.32

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -5.5% | EV -9.1% | ROI +10.0% | n=166 | k=1.68

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.6% | ROI -26.2% | n=166 | k=2.15

4) No Bet | Double Chance 1X | Edge -0.6% | EV -3.6% | ROI -0.6% | n=166 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At the 44th minute with Oviedo trailing 0-2 to Elche, the market shows growing confidence in the away side, reflected by a 64% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The game has been fairly balanced, though Elche has been more active in shots, while Oviedo is pressing hard in the latest phase. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a home win, with a negative ROI and a failed validation check. The model suggests a potential value bet on Oviedo to win with a 2.5% edge and 47.6% expected value, but entry conditions are not met due to current score and match tempo. Top-4 market signals recommend watching the away handicap -1 with minimal edge and EV, and advise against betting on other handicap or double chance options. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a clear betting opportunity, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 44