Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	1.57	3.3	2.25
Away	2	0	0	3	3	0	0	-	1.62	1.32	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
19	8	1.12	6	1.08	1.02	-	-	-	-	1.3	3.5	2.25	1.62

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.1% | EV +1.4% | ROI +6.5% | n=175 | k=1.32

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.4% | ROI -26.7% | n=175 | k=2.25

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +0.2% | EV +1.1% | ROI -7.4% | n=175 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -6.6% | EV -10.7% | ROI +9.6% | n=175 | k=1.62

AI-agent: At 45 minutes, Elche leads Oviedo 2-0 in a match where the market increasingly favors the away side, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels. Despite Oviedo applying pressure recently, Elche has been more active in shots, and the scoreline reflects the match flow. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a home win, with a negative ROI and a failed historical check. The model suggests a home win as the best option with positive edge and expected value, but the entry conditions are not met due to current score and match tempo. Top-4 markets recommend watching but not betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, with risk control advised especially against larger handicap bets on Elche.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 45