Match Replay

Step 37 of 64. Current minute: 53 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	1.95	2.75	2.12	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	4	-	-	-	1.75	1.43	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	2.2	3	1.36	1.61	1.25	-	-	-	-	1.43	2.75	3	1.38

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +42.6% | EV +80.9% | ROI +75.4% | n=326 | k=1.90

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.6% | EV +33.6% | ROI +22.1% | n=326 | k=1.42

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.0% | EV +0.1% | ROI +8.2% | n=326 | k=3.60

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -2.1% | EV -3.4% | ROI -5.4% | n=326 | k=1.61

AI-agent: At the 53rd minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Alaves and Ath Bilbao, the market shows strong support for a draw, with odds dropping 33% from pre-match levels. Shot data does not clearly favor either side, though recent play indicates pressure from the visitors. Historically, betting on Ath Bilbao with a +1.5 handicap in similar situations has been highly profitable, showing a 92.3% success rate and a 75.4% ROI over 326 matches. The model identifies a promising edge of +42.6% and an expected value of +80.9% for this handicap at odds of 1.90. However, the current match conditions have not yet met the expert entry criteria, so no bet is recommended now. This is a watch situation, not a mandatory entry, and bettors should monitor the game closely before deciding.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 53