Match Replay

Step 53 of 64. Current minute: 79 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	6	3	3	2	-	4.8	2.4	2.15	-	-
Away	2	0	0	6	2	4	4	-	-	-	1.73	1.6	1.18

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
5.5	1.53	4.33	1.2	2.38	1.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.3% | EV +53.2% | ROI +47.5% | n=134 | k=1.60

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.4% | EV +2.1% | ROI +14.9% | n=134 | k=5.50

3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -0.9% | EV -2.2% | ROI -16.7% | n=134 | k=2.38

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -0.5% | EV -2.0% | ROI -38.6% | n=134 | k=4.33

AI-agent: At the 79th minute, the score is tied 2-2 between Alaves and Athletic Bilbao. The market shows strong support for a draw, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels. Alaves have been more active in shots and pressure, especially in the recent phase, while Athletic Bilbao is underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data for similar situations strongly favors the away team with a +1 handicap, showing a 100% win rate and a 47.5% ROI over 134 matches. The best model suggestion is to back Athletic Bilbao +1 at 1.60 odds, offering a 33.3% edge and 53.2% expected value. However, the entry conditions are not fully met yet due to the current score and match tempo, so this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Risk control advises monitoring the game closely before committing to a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 79