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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	2.42	1.98	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	-	1.88	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.6	4.75	1.17	1.25	2	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.53	2.5	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.1% | ROI +2.8% | n=404 | k=1.53

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.1% | EV -5.1% | ROI +11.7% | n=404 | k=2.42

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -4.5% | EV -6.8% | ROI -10.5% | n=404 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.7% | EV -7.2% | ROI -15.0% | n=404 | k=1.52

AI-agent: At 17 minutes into the match, Alaves leads Ath Bilbao 1-0 with no red cards. The market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by a 36% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The game has been fairly balanced, but Alaves has been more active in shots, although recent pressure has evened out. Historical data supports a total over 2.5 goals with a 67.1% chance and positive ROI, but the current model edge is slightly negative at -0.7%, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear entry opportunity, and caution is recommended given the model's expected negative value despite favorable history.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 17