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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	2.5	1.98	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	-	-	-	1.88	1.5	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.6	4.75	1.17	1.25	2	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.57	2.38	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.4% | EV -3.6% | ROI +11.0% | n=424 | k=2.50

2) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.9% | EV -1.4% | ROI +3.0% | n=424 | k=1.57

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -5.2% | EV -7.8% | ROI -14.0% | n=424 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.9% | EV -11.6% | ROI -18.2% | n=424 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At the 20th minute, Alaves leads Ath Bilbao 1-0 in a closely contested LaLiga match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 36% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline and Alaves' more active shot count. Historical data supports over 2.5 goals with a 65.6% probability and positive ROI, but the trader model currently shows a negative edge and expected value, so no bet is advised yet. This is a monitoring situation where the model identifies a potential opportunity, but entry conditions are not met. The top markets confirm no recommended bets now, emphasizing cautious risk management given the ongoing game dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 20