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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	2.42	1.98	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	-	-	-	1.88	1.52	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.67	3.6	5	1.17	1.25	2.1	-	-	1.12	6	1.62	2.25	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.3% | ROI +3.5% | n=446 | k=1.62

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.5% | EV -6.0% | ROI +5.3% | n=446 | k=2.42

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.3% | EV -6.6% | ROI -11.0% | n=446 | k=1.52

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -5.5% | EV -11.5% | ROI -13.8% | n=446 | k=2.10

AI-agent: At 23 minutes into the Alaves vs Ath Bilbao match, Alaves leads 1-0 with no red cards. The market favors the home side, reflected by a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with the current score and active shot count favoring Alaves. The game tempo is balanced without sustained pressure from either team recently. Historical data supports over 2.5 goals with a 63.7% win rate and positive ROI, but the current model edge is negative at -0.8%, below the threshold for a confident bet. Therefore, this is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, with no recommended stake despite the promising historical trend.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 23