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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	2.5	1.98	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	-	-	-	1.88	1.5	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.6	5	1.17	1.25	2	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.68	2.15	3.2	1.36

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.4% | ROI +6.2% | n=459 | k=1.68

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.0% | EV -4.9% | ROI +7.8% | n=459 | k=2.50

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.7% | EV -7.1% | ROI -12.0% | n=459 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.1% | EV -5.6% | ROI -9.6% | n=459 | k=5.00

AI-agent: At 24 minutes into the Alaves vs Ath Bilbao match, Alaves leads 1-0 with no red cards. The market favors the home side, reflected by a 36% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with the current score and match dynamics. Alaves shows more shot activity compared to previous encounters, while Bilbao is underperforming relative to their usual level. Historical data supports an over 2.5 goals outcome with a 63.4% probability and positive ROI, but the current model edge is negative at -0.8%, below the threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 markets also advise no bet, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry opportunity. Caution is advised despite the promising historical trends and market pressure on the home team.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 24