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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	2.6	1.98	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	3	-	-	-	1.88	1.48	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.5	5	1.17	1.28	2	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.73	2.08	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.1% | ROI +3.9% | n=483 | k=1.73

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.7% | EV -4.5% | ROI +11.5% | n=483 | k=2.60

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.5% | EV -11.4% | ROI -17.5% | n=483 | k=2.08

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -4.5% | EV -6.0% | ROI -8.9% | n=483 | k=1.33

AI-agent: At 28 minutes into the Alaves vs Ath Bilbao match, Alaves leads 1-0. The market favors the home team, with odds dropping 36% from pre-match levels, reflecting their slight dominance in shots and activity. The game remains balanced without sustained pressure from either side recently. Historical data supports a total over 2.5 goals with a 60% probability and positive ROI, but current model indicators show a negative edge and expected value, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry opportunity, and caution is recommended despite the home advantage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 28