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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Ath Bilbao | 02.05.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 26'   —   Alaves 1:0 Ath Bilbao
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 - - 2.6 1.98 - -
Away 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 - - - 1.88 1.48 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.73 3.6 5 1.17 1.25 2 - - 1.14 5.5 1.7 2.1 3.2 1.36
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.9% | EV -1.5% | ROI +5.1% | n=466 | k=1.70
2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.1% | EV -2.8% | ROI +11.3% | n=466 | k=2.60
3) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.1% | EV -5.6% | ROI -13.1% | n=466 | k=5.00
4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -4.6% | EV -6.3% | ROI -9.6% | n=466 | k=1.36
AI-agent: At 26 minutes into the Alaves vs Ath Bilbao match, Alaves leads 1-0 with no red cards. The market strongly favors the home team, reflected by a 36% drop in odds from pre-match levels, matching the current scoreline and active shot attempts by Alaves. Historical data supports a total over 2.5 goals with a 61.8% win rate and positive ROI, but the model's edge is slightly negative at -0.9%, below the threshold for a confident bet. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, so caution is advised despite the promising historical trends.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 26