Live Matches

← Back Step 26 of 64 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	2.67	1.98	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	-	-	-	1.88	1.45	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.67	3.4	6	1.12	1.3	2.1	-	-	1.25	4	2.1	1.7	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.3% | ROI +3.3% | n=498 | k=2.10

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.7% | EV -7.3% | ROI +7.5% | n=498 | k=2.67

3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -2.4% | EV -3.1% | ROI -4.5% | n=498 | k=1.30

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -6.3% | EV -10.7% | ROI -13.6% | n=498 | k=1.70

AI-agent: At the 40th minute, Alaves leads Ath Bilbao 1-0 in a closely contested LaLiga match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 38% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score and match dynamics. Shot statistics confirm Alaves' slight dominance, though recent phases show no clear sustained pressure. Historical data on over 2.5 goals in similar situations shows a near 50% chance with a modest positive ROI, but the model's edge is slightly negative at -0.2%, below the threshold for a confident bet. Therefore, this is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, and caution is advised given the current expected value and risk profile.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 40