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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	1.95	2.67	1.98	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	4	-	-	-	1.88	1.45	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.61	3.4	6.5	1.11	1.3	2.2	-	-	1.33	3.4	2.38	1.55	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.4% | EV +52.0% | ROI +38.7% | n=467 | k=1.90

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.0% | EV +0.1% | ROI +1.7% | n=467 | k=2.38

3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.4% | EV -1.9% | ROI +4.8% | n=467 | k=1.33

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.9% | EV -10.3% | ROI +4.7% | n=467 | k=2.67

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Alaves leads Ath Bilbao 1-0, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 40% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. The game tempo and pressure are balanced, resembling their previous encounter where the score was 0-0 at this stage and ended 0-1. Historical data supports a +1.5 Asian Handicap on Ath Bilbao with a 73% win rate and a strong ROI of 38.7%, but the model has not triggered a bet due to current match dynamics. The top markets suggest watching the +1.5 AH on Ath Bilbao as the best option, with a significant edge and expected value, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a firm betting opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 45