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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Ath Bilbao | 02.05.2026 | 21:30:00 | HT   —   Alaves 1:0 Ath Bilbao
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Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 - 1.95 2.75 1.98 - -
Away 0 0 0 3 0 3 4 - - - 1.88 1.43 1.9
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.61 3.4 6.5 1.11 1.3 2.2 - - 1.33 3.4 2.42 1.52 5.5 1.14
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.4% | EV +52.0% | ROI +38.7% | n=467 | k=1.90
2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.0% | EV +0.0% | ROI +3.9% | n=467 | k=2.42
3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.4% | EV -1.9% | ROI +4.8% | n=467 | k=1.33
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.8% | EV -7.8% | ROI +6.7% | n=467 | k=2.75
AI-agent: At halftime, Alaves leads 1-0 against Ath Bilbao, but the market pressure favors the away side with a significant drop in odds from pre-match levels. Despite the scoreline, there is no clear dominance in shots or sustained pressure, and the current play resembles their previous encounter where the score was 0-0 at this stage. Historical data supports a +1.5 handicap for Ath Bilbao with a strong ROI of 38.7% and a positive edge of 27.4%, yet the model has not triggered a bet due to unmet entry conditions related to the current match dynamics. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, suggesting caution and further observation before committing stakes.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 45