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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	1.95	2.75	2.2	-	-
Away	1	0	0	4	0	4	4	-	-	-	1.7	1.43	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.75	2.25	2.88	1.36	1.57	1.25	-	-	-	-	1.38	3	2.75	1.43

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +41.4% | EV +78.7% | ROI +37.3% | n=472 | k=1.90

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.7% | ROI +139.0% | n=472 | k=3.75

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +22.3% | EV +31.8% | ROI -10.6% | n=472 | k=1.42

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.2% | EV -12.7% | ROI +99.5% | n=472 | k=3.00

AI-agent: At 46 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Alaves and Ath Bilbao, the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 32% from pre-match levels reflecting the current scoreline. Shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, and recent play shows no sustained pressure from one team. Historically, similar situations favor the away team with a +1.5 handicap, showing a 72.2% win rate and a strong ROI of 37.3%. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1.5 as the best candidate with a 41.4% edge and 78.7% expected value, but entry conditions based on current match tempo and stats are not yet met. Top-4 markets suggest watching this handicap with risk control rather than placing a bet now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory wager.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 46