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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	1.95	2.75	2.2	-	-
Away	1	0	0	4	0	4	4	-	-	-	1.7	1.43	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	2.3	2.88	1.36	1.53	1.25	-	-	-	-	1.35	3.1	2.6	1.48

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +41.0% | EV +77.9% | ROI +37.3% | n=472 | k=1.90

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.4% | ROI +139.0% | n=472 | k=3.60

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.7% | EV +31.0% | ROI -10.6% | n=472 | k=1.42

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.2% | EV -13.0% | ROI +99.5% | n=472 | k=3.10

AI-agent: At the 46th minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Alaves and Ath Bilbao, the market shows strong support for a draw, with odds dropping 32% from pre-match levels. Shot data does not clearly favor either side, and recent play lacks sustained pressure from one team. Historically, the away handicap +1.5 has a solid 72.2% win rate and 37.3% ROI in similar situations, with a fair odds estimate of 1.38. The model highlights AH_AWAY+1.5 as the best option with a 41% edge and 77.9% expected value, but entry rules are not met yet due to current match dynamics. The top-4 markets suggest watching AH_AWAY+1.5 closely while avoiding bets on under 2.5 goals, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm betting opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 46