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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	6	3	3	2	-	4.8	2.4	1.98	1.82	6.25
Away	4	0	0	7	3	4	5	-	1.12	2.02	1.88	1.6	1.18

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
301	41	1	1.44	1.3	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.7% | EV +54.0% | ROI +50.8% | n=144 | k=1.60

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.3% | EV +71.5% | ROI NA | n=144 | k=2.02

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +20.5% | EV +28.7% | ROI -6.8% | n=144 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +17.2% | EV +22.4% | ROI -25.5% | n=144 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At the 83rd minute, Ath Bilbao leads Alaves 4-2 in a match where the market strongly favors the visitors, with odds dropping 61% from pre-match levels reflecting this advantage. The game has been competitive, but Bilbao has shown more activity in shots and pressure, especially in the recent phase. Historical data for a -1 Asian Handicap on Bilbao is weak and does not support a confident bet despite the model indicating a positive edge and expected value. The top markets suggest watching the Asian Handicap lines and double chance options rather than placing a new bet now, emphasizing risk control in this late stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 83