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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	6	3	3	3	-	4.8	2.4	1.98	1.82	6.25
Away	4	0	0	9	4	5	5	-	1.12	2.02	1.88	1.6	1.18

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
401	51	1	1.44	1.3	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +29.5% | EV +47.2% | ROI +50.8% | n=144 | k=1.60

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +20.5% | EV +28.8% | ROI -6.8% | n=144 | k=1.40

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.0% | EV +12.2% | ROI NA | n=144 | k=2.02

4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +17.3% | EV +22.5% | ROI -25.5% | n=144 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At the 83rd minute in the Alaves vs Ath Bilbao match, the score is 2:4 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the away team, reflected by a 61% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with their stronger shot activity and recent dominance. Historical data for the away handicap -1 is weak and does not support a confident bet despite a model edge of +6.0% and an expected value of +12.2%. The top-4 market signals suggest watching the away handicap +1 or double chance on the away team rather than placing a new bet now. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, and risk control is advised given the current game dynamics and historical uncertainty.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 83