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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	6	3	3	3	-	4.8	2.4	1.98	1.82	5.25
Away	4	0	0	9	4	5	5	-	1.16	2.02	1.88	1.6	1.18

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
101	26	1.01	26	1.01	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.1% | EV +71.0% | ROI +102.5% | n=17 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +29.3% | EV +46.9% | ROI +60.0% | n=17 | k=1.60

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +20.4% | EV +28.5% | ROI +40.0% | n=17 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.1% | EV +21.6% | ROI -100.0% | n=17 | k=5.25

AI-agent: At the 90th minute, Alaves trails Ath Bilbao 2-4 in a match showing no clear market signal or strong odds drop from pre-match levels. Shot data does not strongly favor either side, though the visitors have applied pressure recently. Historical data for a -1 handicap on Ath Bilbao is promising but based on a small sample, making it unreliable. The model identifies a value bet on Ath Bilbao -1 with good edge and expected value, but the entry window has closed after the 86th minute. Current top markets suggest watching rather than betting, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm entry opportunity. Caution is advised given the late stage and scoreline.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 90