Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	1.35	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	3.1

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	12	34	1	1.04	10	-	-	-	-	1.22	4.33	2.02	1.82

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.2% | EV +68.7% | ROI +72.5% | n=56 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.0% | EV +3.2% | ROI -0.4% | n=56 | k=3.10

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.0% | EV -1.9% | ROI -8.8% | n=56 | k=1.82

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -7.4% | EV -9.9% | ROI -8.4% | n=56 | k=1.35

AI-agent: At the 45th minute with Celta leading 2-0 against Elche, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Although the shot data does not clearly support dominance, the recent phase shows pressure from the visitors. Historically, the home -1 Asian Handicap has a strong record with 88.4% win probability and 72.5% ROI over 56 matches, confirmed by the current model with a 31.2% edge and 68.7% expected value at odds of 2.20. The position on AH_HOME-1 is already active or covered, so no new bet is opened now. This is a favorable situation to monitor or consider for a bet with risk control, but not a mandatory entry at this moment.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 45