Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	2	0	2	-	1.3	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	8	3	5	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	3.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.04	15	41	1	1.03	13	-	-	-	-	1.4	2.85	2.85	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.6% | EV +73.9% | ROI +74.9% | n=51 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.6% | EV +5.6% | ROI +1.5% | n=51 | k=3.45

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -5.0% | ROI +18.0% | n=51 | k=1.40

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.3% | EV -4.7% | ROI -14.9% | n=51 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At the 60th minute in the Celta vs Elche match, Celta leads 2-0 with no red cards. The market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 39% drop in odds from pre-match levels, despite Elche having more shots and a more active play style recently. Historical data supports a -1 handicap on Celta with an 87.8% win rate and a high ROI of 74.9%. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +33.6% and expected value of +73.9%, although no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. The top recommended bet remains the -1 handicap on Celta, but other markets suggest caution. This is a favorable but monitored opportunity, with risk control advised given the current game dynamics and historical trends.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 60